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December 2025 Random Ramblings

UK Homebuilders with Christian Olesen from Olesen Value Fund

$NATL and the sunset of ATMs with Undervalued and Undercovered's Hugo Navarro

Three things on my mind $AMRZ $DASH $MIDD $MSTR $TSLA $SFM $GO

Investing in growth tech with Lead Edge Capital's Evan Skorpen

Weird Events, Part 3: Lifeway's family drama $LWAY

The Fairfax Way with David Thomas $FFH.TO

Weird Events, Part 2: Some quick hits $ADVM $DXLG $PETS $PGRE $WBD

A (premium) $WBD $PSKY $NFLX bidding war

December 2025 premium update

Edge, Alpha, and the Enviri Strategic Review: What Actually Counts as Unique Insight? $NVRI

Weird Events, Part 1: Alcon’s STAAR Surgical Deal ($ALC, $STAA)

Rick's Thanksgiving Surprise: A Friday Night 8-K for the Age $RICK

Some things and ideas: November 2025

Yet Another Posting Hiatus due to War of Succession

"Suspicion of Gross Fraud": some notes from passing on Intellego Technologies $INT.ST

Another (premium) proposed take-private

"Risk Riding" at Berkshire and Buffett's 2025 Thanksgiving Message $BRK

November 2025 Random Ramblings

(Premium) history repeats itself again

Shining a light on Golden Entertainment's "wealth transfer" $GDEN

An open letter to the Golden Entertainment board $GDEN

Chadd Garcia breaks down WaterBridge's post-IPO value creation story $WBI

Adding to the (premium) shopping list

November 2025 premium update

Investing in Maharashtra Scooters and Indian Holdcos with Gymkhana Partners' Andrei Stetsenko (podcast #349)

Missing a bidding war: a mea culpa on Metsera ($MTSR)

Some things and ideas: October 2025

All things AI, Power, and Corporate Governance with SemiAnalysis's Doug O'Laughlin (podcast #348)

A (premium) "no lose" set up

October 2025 Random Market Ramblings (podcast #347)

Terry Rozier, corruption in sports gambling, and the "ick" factor

A (premium) legal window

Fake it till you (premium) make it

Mario Cibelli from Marathon Partners updates his Remitly Thesis $RELY (podcast #346)

October 2025 premium updates

Working out Basic Fit's Value with Buckley Capital's Zack Buckley $BFIT (podcast #345)

$IONQ and the evolution of meme stock financing

Black box risk and $GECC

Unlocking Jardine Matheson's holdco value with Cayucos Capital's Dom St George (podcast #344)

Sora's legal liabilities, legacy media upside, and the $NFLX bear case?

John Malone's Memoirs: Born to be Wired book club (podcast #343)

Risking a zero: payments and stablecoins (Alphasense Webinar)

Some things and ideas: September 2025

Risking a zero: tail risk, disruption, and Malone

Firebird Management's Steve Gorelik's Molina Healthcare Bull Thesis $MOH (podcast #342)

Risking a zero: Fraud, Ponzis, and $BRK

September 2025 Random Ramblings (podcast #341)

Shomik Ghosh's $CWAN bull thesis (podcast #340)

Elon's big $TSLA purchase and insider signaling

Artem Fokin on Improving with AI and Expert Calls (podcast #339)

Ethical investing, avoiding blow ups, and salacious indictments $RICK

September 2025 premium update

Sophon Capital's Thunderbird Entertainment Thesis $TBRD (podcast #338)

A (premium) speculation with a (sort of) value twist

The bloom is off: the start of the DAT crash?

Yummy Century Egg's Guowei Zhang Echostar follow up $SATS (podcast #337)

Railroader (August 2025 fintwit book club) (pod #336)

Some things and ideas: August 2025

How to get a job in investing (podcast #335)

A new (premium) CVR

Evolving, improving, and #friendship (part 2)

An open letter to the $ARVN board

Guinea Value's Jingshu Zhang on $EDU (podcast #334)

Evolving, improving, and #friendship (part 1)

Once more into the (premium) take private fire

Perfecting the Investing Craft with Caro-Kann’s Artem Fokin (podcast #333)

August 2025 Random Ramblings (podcast #332)

Digital Asset Treasury companies and mNAV premiums (part 2: why these shouldn't trade at a premium)

SemiAnalysis' Jeremie Eliahou Ontiveros on all things datacenter / power (podcast #331)

Icahn versus Paulson: the $BHC "challenge" trade

A mid-life fitness crisis and improving as an investor

Old West's Brian Laks dives into metals, mining, and uranium (podcast #330)

August 2025 premium update

Hidden Gems' Chris Waller Judges Scientific Thesis (podcast #329)

A (premium) margin call

Digital Asset Treasury companies and mNAV premiums (part 1: overview + bull thesis)

A likely (premium) sale candidate

Anek Capital's Orel Levy's Cellebrite Thesis $CLBT (podcast #328)

Some things and ideas: July 2025

July 2025 premium update

Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025, Podcast #327)

mNAV premiums, market multiples, and relative value (weekend thoughts)

Kingdom Capital's David Bastian on United Natural Foods $UNFI (podcast #326)

Random Ramblings July 2025 (podcast #325)

Starting the (premium) SPAC basket

We are SO back: time to build the SPAC basket

Berkshire's secret? Do nothing when there's nothing to do (Trite Munger quotes that hit me, H1'25 edition)

Midyear 2025 podcast ideas updates $FLL $SAGE $KROS (episode #324)

NYC's mayorial primary and the death of local broadcast advertising $NXST (weekend thoughts)

A (premium) potential topping bid

Midyear 2025 (premium) update

Correlations, Leverage, Caution, and $TSLA

Some things and ideas: June 2025

How Countries Go Broke (June 2025 Fintwit Book Club) (podcast #323)

Yummy Century Egg's Guowei Zhang on Echostar $SATS (podcast #322)

Distress, control, and Buffett (weekend thoughts)

June 2025 premium update

Rhizome Partner's Bill Chen's post-NAREIT takeaways (podcast #321)

A quick (premium) deal update

Findell Capital's Brian Finn on Oportun $OPRT (podcast #320)

Recurve Capital's Aaron Chan on Cogent $CCOI (Podcast #319)

Thib's firing and investing (weekend thoughts)

Kontrarian Korner's Ben Kelleran on Sable Offshore $SOC (podcast #318)

Yet again, yet another for the (premium) net cash basket

The Snowball (May 2025 Fintwit Book Club) (podcast #317)

Muddy Waters' Darren McLean on investing in the mining sector (episode #316)

Some things and ideas: May 2025

Fintool's Nicolas Bustamante on using AI to improve in investing (podcast #315)

Celebrating Buffett's Longevity (weekend thoughts)

Buffett and me (weekend thoughts)

Pitch the PM's Doug Garber on $TUSK's mammoth cash balance (podcast #314)

More bad boards and awful deals $ALOT

May 2025 premium update

Planet Microcap 2025 Q&A with Artem Fokin of Caro-Kann Capital (podcast #312)

Yet another^2 for the (premium) busted net cash basket

Pershing Square Challenge 2025 winners on Carlisle $CSL (Podcast #313)

Weekend thoughts: bad boards and awful deals $GPN $FWRD

Yet another for the (premium) busted net cash basket

Random Ramblings May 2025 (podcast #311)

How much is a great manager worth? $QXO $BECN

An open letter to the Keros board $KROS

Cliff Sosin from CAS on Carvana and a bunch of other stuff $CVNA (podcast #310)

A few (premium) updates

Another (premium) net cash play

Weekend thoughts: incentives and bad corporate governance

Clashing Over Commerce (Fintwit Book Club April 2025; episode #309)

An open letter to the $SAGE board: it IS about the money

Some things and ideas: April 2025

AI in Investing with Daloopa's founder Thomas Li (podcast #308)

April 2025 premium update

Weekend thoughts: this time IS different for busted biopharm, part 4 (a firmer call to action)

Weekend thoughts: this time IS different for busted biopharm, part 3 (a tale of two busted bios and $TSVT proxy review)

Why hasn't AI made me a better investor?

Random Ramblings April 2025 (podcast #307)

Weekend thoughts: this time IS different for busted biopharm, part 2 (this time is better and a call to action)

Avoiding the Zombie Biopharm trap at Keros $KROS (podcast #306)

Some mid-month (premium) tariff updates

Windward's Marc Chalfin Turtle Beach Thesis $TBCH (episode #305)

David Capital's Adam Patinkin Updates the Vistry Thesis $VTY (podcast #304)

Focus Capital Advisers' Mordechai Yavneh on the greatest acquisition of all time (Valeura Energy) (episode #303)

March 2025 Fintwit Book Club: Diary of a Very Bad Year with Byne Hobart from The Diff (podcast #302)

Weekend thoughts: this time IS different for busted biopharm, part 1 (history, hypotheticals, and examples)

Some things and ideas: March 2025

David Capital Partners' Adam Patinkin on how Lifecore's CDMO business $LFCR (podcast #301)

March 2025 premium update

Plural Investing's Chris Waller on the entertainment and hospitality turnaround at Seaport $SEG (podcast #300)

Weekend thoughts: space phone wars, mobile operators words don't match their actions, and $ASTS

Random Ramblings March 2025: the market sell off, relationships with management teams, corp gov (podcast #299)

Another for the (premium) net cash blow up basket

Optimist Fund's Jordan McNamee on ThredUp's value proposition $TDUP (podcast #298)

Some (premium) mid-month updates

Simon Kold, Author of "On the Hunt for Great Companies," on what makes a great company (podcast #297)

"Markets in turmoil": tariffs edition and rebalancing your portfolio

Alex Morris, TSOH & Author of "Buffett and Munger Unscripted", talks 2024 Berkshire Annual Letter (podcast #296)

One more for the (premium) net cash basket

Fintwit Book Club February 2025: Advanced Portfolio Management: A Quant's Guide for Fundamental Investors (podcast #295)

Another (premium) squeeze

Some things and ideas: February 2025

Random Ramblings FEB 2025: Libra, changing your mind, lucky vs. unlucky stocks, hands-on research (podcast #294)

February 2025 premium update

The future of telecom- expert interview with former FCC Chair Tom Wheeler (part 3 of 3: broadcasters)

Kerrisdale Capital's Sahm Adrangi on $ACMR's price dislocation between Shanghai and NASDAQ listings (podcast #293)

Weekend thoughts: Opportunities in small biopharma

Yet Another Value's special situation: Sage Therapeutics $SAGE (podcast #292)

The future of telecom- expert interview with former FCC Chair Tom Wheeler (part 2 of 3)

Redwheel's Shaul Rosten unpacks thesis on French leasing company, Ayvens $AYV.PA (podcast #291)

The future of telecom- expert interview with former FCC Chair Tom Wheeler (part 1 of 3)

Weekend Thoughts: Demand Shocks and How Utilities Went From Sleepy to AI Darlings

Windward's Marc Chalfin and Jay Upadhyay describes the overhaul and new vision at Groupon $GRPN (episode #290)

A (premium) net cash play

SemiAnalysis' Jeremie Eliahou Ontiveros on the supply/demand dynamics of AI and data centers (podcast #289)

Weekend Thoughts: Diamonds, Tail Risks, and the Assumptions We Take for Granted

Value for sale (premium post)

Boldstart Ventures' Shomik Ghosh on Kelly Partners' $KPG.AX unique accounting firm roll-up strategy (podcast #288)

Recurve Capital's Aaron Chan on the scalability of Carvana's $CVNA business model (podcast #287)

Weekend thoughts: aging lions, disappointing heirs, and succession changes $IAC $FWONA

1 Main Capital's Yaron Naymark on some general investor skepticism with the $IWG.L thesis (episode #286)

Some things and ideas: January 2025

January 2025 premium update

It's never that easy (plus, hearing a pod is blowing up?)

Outerbridge Capital's Rory Wallace on Allot's rebound and how to value Verizon partnership $ALLT (podcast #285)

Alex Morris on what you can learn in his new book: "Buffett and Munger Unscripted"(podcast #284)

Buying a (premium) blow up

More Than a Numbers Game: A Brief History of Accounting (Fintwit Book Club Podcast January 2025)

Weekend thoughts: learning from market history without costing yourself in the present

YAVB (premium) 2025 outlook / company updates

Yet Another Value Empire: 2025 vision, superpowers, and saying no

Trite Munger quotes that hit me, FY24 edition: big money in waiting?

Yet Another Value's 2025 Idea of the Year: Full House Resorts $FLL (episode #283)