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One relevant question to ask is whether EVs/ICEs become safer over time with self-driving technology. I could certainly look out 10 years and say there is potential for significantly fewer traffic accidents due to better sensors and self-driving corrections (auto stop, lane drift, etc). Clearly there will always be cars that are scrapped, but extrapolating the current trends may not be wise, especially with a high multiple stock.

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Take a look at Chris Mayer’s blog at Woodlock House Family Capital. He’s also written persuasively about Copart - with some similar themes - in recent years.

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